Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000105 0.000118 0.000131 0.000146 0.000163 0.000182 0.000204
2024-10-13 0.000087 0.000103 0.000122 0.000145 0.000173 0.000204 0.000243
2024-10-20 0.000074 0.000094 0.000117 0.000146 0.000183 0.000228 0.000286
2024-10-27 0.000065 0.000086 0.000112 0.000147 0.000194 0.000252 0.000333
2024-11-03 0.000056 0.000078 0.000106 0.000145 0.000199 0.000271 0.000373
2024-11-10 0.000051 0.000073 0.000104 0.000148 0.000211 0.000298 0.000427
2024-11-17 0.000046 0.000068 0.000099 0.000147 0.000217 0.000317 0.000471
2024-11-24 0.000041 0.000064 0.000096 0.000147 0.000225 0.000340 0.000522
2024-12-01 0.000037 0.000059 0.000092 0.000146 0.000230 0.000357 0.000566
2024-12-08 0.000034 0.000055 0.000089 0.000145 0.000235 0.000376 0.000613
2024-12-15 0.000031 0.000052 0.000086 0.000144 0.000241 0.000396 0.000665
2024-12-22 0.000029 0.000050 0.000084 0.000144 0.000248 0.000418 0.000720
2024-12-29 0.000027 0.000047 0.000082 0.000145 0.000255 0.000442 0.000783
2025-01-05 0.000024 0.000044 0.000079 0.000144 0.000260 0.000461 0.000839
2025-01-12 0.000023 0.000043 0.000078 0.000144 0.000268 0.000488 0.000911
2025-01-19 0.000021 0.000041 0.000076 0.000145 0.000277 0.000516 0.000988
2025-01-26 0.000019 0.000038 0.000073 0.000143 0.000280 0.000534 0.001046
2025-02-02 0.000018 0.000037 0.000073 0.000146 0.000291 0.000569 0.001142
2025-02-09 0.000017 0.000035 0.000071 0.000145 0.000296 0.000590 0.001211
2025-02-16 0.000016 0.000034 0.000070 0.000145 0.000303 0.000618 0.001296
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000032 0.000067 0.000144 0.000306 0.000637 0.001365
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000031 0.000065 0.000143 0.000310 0.000658 0.001439
2025-03-09 0.000013 0.000029 0.000064 0.000142 0.000316 0.000683 0.001525